Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 78805.571762 83199.112058 87593.702833 92316.073203 97243.971159 102231.531982 107657.910479
2026-01-25 71404.566033 78084.912595 84954.584936 92537.467785 100663.281640 109100.006696 118512.107025
2026-02-01 65884.508470 74097.540190 82730.809381 92463.001601 103108.942443 114380.729218 127197.517810
2026-02-08 62153.904125 71561.118781 81632.057513 93183.744587 106034.637370 119858.825935 135820.816471
2026-02-15 58625.405711 68920.422192 80121.484973 93166.880519 107894.166078 123956.229516 142748.489155
2026-02-22 56454.881146 67602.970673 79906.145491 94427.559899 111031.768160 129357.315912 151042.256402
2026-03-01 54326.740881 66176.137740 79426.591289 95259.019213 113574.702083 134008.655633 158437.742255
2026-03-08 51905.848885 64269.468319 78269.584277 95193.377159 114988.209344 137297.369107 164225.048948
2026-03-15 49937.479207 62785.855599 77506.327546 95494.028186 116748.202133 140926.379356 170367.166604
2026-03-22 48809.280875 62230.513922 77772.106579 96949.747511 119818.566833 146052.128157 178247.306389
2026-03-29 47576.188739 61482.454493 77751.973529 98017.013625 122395.012692 150583.368638 185435.928488
2026-04-05 46222.895580 60524.826514 77425.256738 98668.221308 124439.316337 154467.401623 191860.144940
2026-04-12 44661.208873 59268.173673 76704.954803 98824.177371 125887.341272 157663.816886 197516.604033
2026-04-19 43238.951314 58133.137682 76088.589049 99068.699667 127416.129196 160946.395407 203286.049600
2026-04-26 41748.588775 56857.034242 75248.386630 98992.343436 128517.407671 163692.111409 208403.202734
2026-05-03 40753.025572 56170.560163 75108.023189 99754.825287 130629.442808 167655.143596 215005.195393
2026-05-10 39451.914935 55045.080911 74374.379425 99737.119448 131745.772056 170386.572390 220103.232234
2026-05-17 38841.916393 54790.885769 74723.906305 101069.757390 134539.728764 175182.585707 227756.796635
2026-05-24 38064.972718 54288.444125 74731.599080 101948.564697 136753.423220 179264.157189 234547.657420
2026-05-31 36914.923132 53255.256849 74022.222623 101879.189379 137745.524143 181816.539325 239443.158626
2026-06-07 35986.943500 52488.434891 73631.659367 102196.942231 139212.904662 184955.206707 245075.945408
2026-06-14 35614.233134 52453.786101 74186.748994 103735.322269 142243.801949 190068.678016 253211.592474
2026-06-21 35092.542505 52197.697780 74435.182847 104863.042541 144744.393626 194522.538908 260542.067602